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ChiThistle

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Everything posted by ChiThistle

  1. Every player had a bit of fight in him. Won loads of headers. Probably unlucky not to get that handball penalty. Good momentum for us now! Can’t believe we lost 4-0 to them last fall. They didn’t offer a whole lot today and our defence seemed to generally handle things comfortably.
  2. The best thing about today is that everyone looked confident out there, and that’s been sorely lacking the last few games. Awful goal to concede when we generally were very good at clearances. Agree that Robinson threw himself about and was very involved, but he isn’t someone I think of as an actual threat. Wish we had an alternative there who could be both, but I don’t think we do. Lawless magic on the ball again - he looked a little off his game last time out so was nice to see.
  3. Alls we need to do is take a handful of samples of game data, calculate the average of each sample, figure out the T-Score for the level of confidence we’d like to have, compute the standard error for our sample means - like so -, combine all of that to get an upper bound, lower bound, and margin of error, and there you are, right as rain. I’ll just plug that all into the ChiThistle 3000 mainframe, press this button, read the result and……. 42?!? Damn computer.
  4. Who says that target is the only parameter they have, though? It may be the only parameter they’ve PUBLICIZED…..but they likely have others. Every board seems to set a target, but it would be silly for it to be the only metric. But do they have to share the other metrics with shareholders/stakeholders? I’d argue they don’t. That puts us back in the “fan owned vs fan run” argument. And one difference I think we are overlooking between the McCall and Doolan situations…..wasn’t McCall given extra funds to make that promotion push that didn’t happen? Which turned out to be funds we really couldn’t afford? Doolan, to my knowledge, has received no such funding of any significance due to our financial situation.
  5. I agree with a lot of your points about KPIs and how Dools appears to be left a bit in the lurch - it’s all a very tall ask for a first time manager. I would agree that we are some level of shambolic, but I think we are much less shambolic than we were when we almost couldn’t keep the lights on. I don't think this ever was going to be a quick fix, and there are aspects of the club that, to use a tired business adage, operate as if we are flying the plane while building it. I think that was somewhat unavoidable though. There’s a lot of contention about the last shareholder meeting. Is there a publicly available recording of that? Or is that only for publicly traded companies? And, um, how much do shares of PTFC go for these days?? 😀
  6. “Experienced manager” often means “retread” in this league. We all complain about wage thieves in our midst on the players’ side; would hate to repeat same with a manager. We’ve referenced the “insanity same thing expecting different results” thing ad nauseam, and it’s the same with the same old cast of managers that never go anywhere. Dools may have been the cost effective, crowd-pleasing choice, but I think there’s a decent manager in there. I think realistically you give a manager 2 seasons to display a level of competence. 1 if it’s just so horrifically bad. But then you need a savvy board with the right metrics (not always W’s and L’s) to make that call. If I were on our board, I’d be reaching out to as many other boards as I could if I was deficient in that area to inquire how they went about assessing the manager. Replacing directors should be whole separate thread. 😀
  7. Ah okay, I thought you were suggesting it’s how the strategy SHOULD be. So…..how would you change the ridiculous strategy? Replace the board and keep the manager? We can’t keep going on that kind of cycle.
  8. Do you feel that should be how it works going forward? Set the target at the beginning of the year, and if the target isn’t met, then sack the manager/board and replace? Seems a fairly untenable strategy to me, unless your argument is, “well then, set the target really low.”
  9. I just realized we completely missed a trick by not calling the first tranche the “safety tranche”. Because now……we can tranche if we want to, we can leave your friends behind. Cos your friends don’t tranche and if they don’t tranche well they’re no friends of mine. S s s s A a a a F f f f E e e e T t t t Y y y y Safe safe safety tranche! (admin, lock this thread! It’s devolved into madness.)
  10. Thread Summary: Tranches: A Slippery Slope to Der German Model? AGMs: What Comes First - Explicitly Forecasted Capital Expenditures or the Funding to Pay for Them? Cash Flow Projections: They fluctuate throughout the season. Like the quality of the last two Still Game seasons. The Second Tranche: great pub name, that!
  11. Would love to see these lengthy posts turn into a podcast debate with a moderator. I think trying to analyze everything all at once is really hard in a static forum.
  12. And here I thought Groundhog Day was 2 weeks ago…. 😄
  13. Maybe so, but he wasn’t the problem today. Probably kept us from losing it earlier with a couple saves. My big question is……when Graham goes off, who is the leader? I don’t care who’s wearing the armband - who is the leader?
  14. As a consumer of cloud IT infrastructure, I thank you for your service.
  15. So how many blue cards until you get a yellow card? If you finish a game in the sin bin do you start the next game in the sin bin? And if I play a reverse card, can I put the ref in the sin bin? And if I play a Draw Four card, will Munn’s honor it?
  16. First 45 - enjoyable, balanced, good passing Next 30 - less quality but chippy and enjoyable Last 15 - yikes Dools seemed content to play for the draw by the time Lawless/Banzo were subbed off. Assume there was a high likelihood of one of them getting a red before the game was out. Don’t normally pick MOTM’s but I thought Neilson was solid all day.
  17. Get in Tomi!!!! We deserved that.
  18. Not sure what Sneddon was doing there…
  19. Seems a good day to put $5 on a Fitzy double
  20. My assumption would be the myth is that Academies can consistently grow enough players to warrant the cost of maintaining an a academy - through either: 1) Becoming first-team regulars at lower salaries than journeymen 2) Achieving sufficient sell-on fees 3) A combination of the two All told I would expect there is some historical creedence here. Lindsay and Fitzpatrick were sell-on rarities, and Cooper got sold on (probably for an insignificant amount) before he could reach the first team. Perhaps Dools consciously intends to turn this around with guys like Stanway, Lyon, Diack, McKenzie, etc.
  21. Not sure what Rudden is going to do for us that Graham, Adeloye, or Diack can’t - or hasn’t given us glimpses of. Get Diack tied down on a longer deal and prepare him to be our second choice striker. Should be working to figure out who our third striker next year would be - not taking on more loan players this season.
  22. Considerations such as funding an Academy and bringing scouting in-house (vs outsourcing) should be based on overall economic value - not just sticker price - for reasons exactly such as this. On the balance sheet, I suspect the Academy is a loss for us. But community value, the part it plays in keeping us regarded as a serious club, and other benefits can’t be ignored. And these won’t show up as line items on the financials but they are undeniably present.
  23. Derek Adams is a sports journo’s dream. ”Thanks Gaffer, as a follow-up question, could I get you to dig yourself a deeper hole?” ”Why yes, thank you for asking. The entire club, its supporters and families, are shite.”
  24. So can these 8 pages be summed up as: 1) Ideally the prior year losses would be offset by a plan to reduce operating costs or increase revenue through “normal trading”. 2) JJ has not seen a comprehensive plan as outlined in #1 above. It could be argued that one doesn’t exist. Yet. Hopefully. 3) The TJF money is good and valid, but it shouldn’t need to be used to paper over the aforementioned losses. Those losses should be reduced through generation of increased “normal” (read: coming from operations) revenue or reduction in operating costs 4) The USA money is either highly welcome, or somewhat contentious, due to the urgent cash flow situation we were in and the issuance of shares/board position that accompany it. Only a select few will know how truly bad things were that necessitated the decision, which hopefully will be a one-time only deal once the CTA is in place and beneficiaries are consulted on such matters going forward. 5) We all agree the toilets need fixing - first the women’s then the men’s. LIB has been suspiciously quiet about the toilets while the menfolk fight this battle. This underscores the forum power dynamic and indicates she’s really the one who runs things here. Hopefully that all covers it and we can all go get a beer. I’ll be back over in November around the US Thanksgiving holiday and will buy the first round.
  25. I don’t see too much unreasonable with wanting a Club Board to understand club revenue sources and build a plan to maximize those. Two questions: 1) Is it unreasonable for the board to not have a super comprehensive plan on this yet given that it’s been in flux for some time? 2) Are you more or less confident in the current board than you were with the board that ran us into 300k losses? Or does it remain to be seen?
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